Lucky Stiff Blackjack
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- The Lucky Lucky blackjack side bet is played with your first two dealt cards, and the dealer upcard. On these three cards, you get paid for various ways to make 21, and for any 20 and 19 total.
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Lucky Stiff Blackjack Casino
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Lucky Stiff BJ Side Bet @ 7 Cedars, WA
Paigow Dan told me about the new Lucky Stiff side bet his friend recently placed at the 7 Cedars Casino in WA. It looks fun, because you’re paid 5:1 when your initial 12-16 hard total ends up winning the main hand. Also, blackjack pays even-money on the side bet, and an initial pair of 8-8, 7-7, and 6-6 instantly wins 10:1. Anyways, I ran the bet through my BJ analyzer, to see if it was interesting in any way. I understand that 7 Cedars lets you bet $5 on the main hand, and up to $25 on the side bet. So I ran the analysis for a 5:1 side-to-main ratio on a 6-deck, H17, SP4, SPA4 game. The return showed a house edge of 3.5% of the combined (main+side) wager. The optimal strategy for the 5:1 side-to-main ratio only has a few differences with basic strategy.
| Hand | Dealer Upcard | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | A | |
| Soft Totals | ||||||||||
| soft 21 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| soft 20 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| soft 19 | S | S | S | S | D | S | S | S | S | S |
| soft 18 | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | H | H | H |
| soft 17 | H | D | D | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
| soft 16 | H | H | D | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
| soft 15 | H | H | D | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
| soft 14 | H | H | H | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
| soft 13 | H | H | H | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
| Hard Totals | ||||||||||
| hard 20 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| hard 19 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| hard 18 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| hard 17 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| hard 16 | S | S | S | S | S | H | H | H | S | H |
| hard 15 | S | S | S | S | S | H | H | H | S | H |
| hard 14 | S | S | S | S | S | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 13 | S | S | S | S | S | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 12 | H | S | S | S | S | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 11 | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| hard 10 | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | H | H |
| hard 9 | H | D | D | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 8 | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 7 | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 6 | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| hard 5 | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H | H |
| Pairs | ||||||||||
| A-A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 10-10 | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S |
| 9-9 | P | P | P | P | P | S | P | P | S | S |
| 8-8 | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 7-7 | P | P | P | P | P | P | H | H | H | H |
| 6-6 | P | P | P | P | P | H | H | H | H | H |
| 5-5 | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | H | H |
| 4-4 | H | H | H | P | P | H | H | H | H | H |
| 3-3 | P | P | P | P | P | P | H | H | H | H |
| 2-2 | P | P | P | P | P | P | H | H | H | H |
The EORs are fairly small for the 5:1 side-to-main ratio. They’re about only 1/3rd as effective as the EORs for a standard 6-deck shoe main game. So it’s not worth your time to count this side bet. For a single card removed in a 6-deck game, the EORs are as follows:
| Card Removed | Return | EOR |
|---|---|---|
| None | 3.5009% | |
| Ace | 3.1324% | 0.3685% |
| Deuce | 3.3055% | 0.1954% |
| Trey | 3.3723% | 0.1285% |
| Four | 3.4423% | 0.0585% |
| Five | 3.5247% | -0.0238% |
| Six | 4.0443% | -0.5434% |
| Seven | 3.7864% | -0.2856% |
| Eight | 3.7654% | -0.2845% |
| Nine | 3.3903% | 0.1106% |
| Ten/Face | 3.4194% | 0.0815% |
Lucky Stiff Blackjack Games
This bet looks like fun. If you bet an equal main and side bet (1:1 side-to-main ratio), the house edge is 4.66% on the combined 2 unit bet (2.33% element-of-risk). That’s not too bad for a carnival-like odds. If you make a small side bet 1/5th of your main bet (e.g., a $1 side bet to a $5 main bet), then the house edge on the combined 1.2 unit bet is 1.38%. That’s not bad for a little bit of fun.